Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000215 0.000241 0.000268 0.000299 0.000334 0.000372 0.000417
2025-01-19 0.000181 0.000216 0.000256 0.000305 0.000363 0.000430 0.000513
2025-01-26 0.000153 0.000193 0.000241 0.000303 0.000381 0.000476 0.000601
2025-02-02 0.000139 0.000184 0.000240 0.000317 0.000419 0.000550 0.000730
2025-02-09 0.000124 0.000171 0.000234 0.000323 0.000446 0.000610 0.000847
2025-02-16 0.000111 0.000160 0.000228 0.000327 0.000469 0.000668 0.000967
2025-02-23 0.000100 0.000149 0.000219 0.000326 0.000486 0.000717 0.001077
2025-03-02 0.000089 0.000137 0.000208 0.000320 0.000494 0.000753 0.001172
2025-03-09 0.000081 0.000128 0.000201 0.000319 0.000507 0.000798 0.001282
2025-03-16 0.000074 0.000121 0.000195 0.000319 0.000523 0.000847 0.001404
2025-03-23 0.000068 0.000115 0.000190 0.000320 0.000540 0.000900 0.001535
2025-03-30 0.000063 0.000109 0.000184 0.000319 0.000552 0.000943 0.001653
2025-04-06 0.000058 0.000103 0.000180 0.000319 0.000568 0.000998 0.001803
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000098 0.000176 0.000321 0.000588 0.001062 0.001973
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000092 0.000169 0.000317 0.000597 0.001105 0.002111
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000092 0.000172 0.000332 0.000640 0.001216 0.002386
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000089 0.000171 0.000336 0.000666 0.001297 0.002611
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000085 0.000168 0.000340 0.000689 0.001375 0.002838
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000081 0.000164 0.000339 0.000704 0.001437 0.003038
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000077 0.000158 0.000333 0.000707 0.001476 0.003194
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000073 0.000153 0.000331 0.000719 0.001533 0.003394
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000070 0.000150 0.000332 0.000735 0.001600 0.003624
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000068 0.000148 0.000333 0.000754 0.001675 0.003877